Kim, Moon, Trump, Pope Francis: Who Are Bookies' Favorites for Nobel Peace Prize
The
Nobel Peace Prize, the outstanding award the international community bestows
upon its most luminary minds, offers many candidates but little clarity this
year. Sputnik takes a look at the shortlist of those who could take home the
cash and the honor.
The Norwegian
Nobel Committee is scheduled to reveal on Friday who is this year's
Nobel Peace Prize laureate. The committee keeps a tight lid on its annual
list of candidates, and the only thing we know is that this year, it
features 331 individuals and organizations, the second-highest number
in history (the record of 376 nominations was set in 2016).
While this
year has left quite a few experts scratching their heads over who will
earn the world's highest honor, bookies have already dropped some hints.
Korean Frontrunners
Among most
oddsmakers, the clear favorites for the 2018 Nobel Peace Prize are two
Korean leaders, the North's Kim Jong-un and the South's Moon Jae-in. The
fragile peace process on the Korean Peninsula has significantly improved
since the beginning of the year as Moon and Kim held three
bilateral meetings that resulted in a joint pledge to reach a peace
treaty. In what could be seen as a step forward in North-South
relations, in April, Kim Jong-un became the first North Korean leader
to enter South Korea since the end of the 1950-1953 war.
Following the third and the most challenging summit, the North
said it would "permanently" abolish its key missile facilities and
potentially destroy its primary nuclear complex if Washington took reciprocal
action. Moon has praised Kim's pledge as a massive development
in denuclearization talks.
America's Favorite
According to Ladbrokes, an online betting site, US
President Donald Trump is second in the betting at the 5/2 odds
of him winning. In May, a group of Republican lawmakers wrote a
letter to the Nobel committee stating that President Trump should be
nominated "in recognition of his work to end the Korean War,
denuclearize the Korean Peninsula and bring peace to the region,"
which is pretty much the same reason the two Korean leaders are the likely
candidates.
However, this choice might not seem popular to some
as this year POTUS has also made some moves that have divided the
international community: he pulled the US out of the landmark 2015 Iran
nuclear deal and announced import tariffs that led to a trade spat
with America's neighbors and trans-Atlantic partners.
Catalan "Rebel"
An unexpected candidate has
emerged in Spain: Ladbrokes puts Catalonia's exiled leader Carles
Puidgemont's chances at 12/1. The former Catalan president went
into exile in Belgium
since Catalonia's parliament unilaterally declared independencefrom Spain
in October 2017.
UNHCR
Moving the spotlight
from individuals to international organizations, Ladbrokes is
offering the odds of the U.N.
High Commissioner for Refugees at 12/1.
The UN's refugee agency has already picked up two Peace
Prizes in 1954 and 1981 in recognition of its efforts
to repatriate refugees in Asia, Africa and Latin America. This year,
the UNHCR said the refugee problem was greater in 2017 than ever
before; the agency has been leading a coordinated effort to help refugees
in crisis-torn countries, including Syria, Venezuela, Myanmar, and Yemen.
Pope Francis
Online betting sites have another possible laureate Pope Francis
at odds of 16/1. The Pontiff has been battling a series of sex
scandals engulfing the Roman Catholic Church in the US, Chile, Germany,
Ireland, and Australia. However, opinion polls say that Catholics are losing
confidence in Pope Francis over his handling of sexual abuse
scandals, which has been criticized as too slow.
The List Goes On
Other possible laurates include Raif Badawi, a prominent Saudi
Arabian blogger and human rights advocate jailed since 2012, Ethiopian
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed who ended a two-decades-long state of war
with Eritrea by agreeing to give up disputed border
territory, the #MeToo movement that brought up women's issues such
as sexual harassment and assault, escaped Daesh* sex slave Nadia Murad,
and the press freedom watchdog Reporters Without Borders.
Last year, the prize went to the International Campaign
to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) "for its work to draw
attention to the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of any use
of nuclear weapons and for its groundbreaking efforts to achieve
a treaty-based prohibition of such weapons."
This week, the Nobel Prize for Physiology or Medicine went
to American immunologist James Allison and Japanese immunologist Tasuku
Honjo for their discoveries in cancer therapy.
This Year's Laureates
in Other Nominations
The Nobel Physics Prize was awarded to Arthur Ashkin
of the United States, Gerard Mourou of France and Donna Strickland
of Canada, "for groundbreaking inventions in the field
of laser physics" leading to broad industrial and medical
applications, including eye surgery performed with ultra-sharp laser beams
The Chemistry Prize was bestowed on US scientists Frances
Arnold and George Smith and British researcher Gregory Winter. Arnold received
the award "for the directed evolution of enzymes," while Smith
and Winter — "for the phage display of peptides and
antibodies."
Smith has developed a method called "phage display,"
which allows using a virus that infects bacteria (bacteriophage) to evolve
new proteins. Winter, in turn, used this method to produce new
pharmaceuticals. Phage display is used to create anti-bodies that can
neutralize toxins, counteract autoimmune diseases and also cure metastatic
cancer.
Up to three nominees may share the prize which includes a
gold medal, a personal diploma and a cash award (around $1 million or 867,000
euros).



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